Tournament seeding compared to Warren Nolan
Tournament seeding compared to Warren Nolan
Warren Nolan has spent a long time tinkering w his formula. His results are pretty good.
The NCAA Tournament Committee has been accused of major conference bias by folks like us, who support teams outside the P5 plus Big East.
Comparing Nolan’s ratings to tournament seedings shows some discrepancies.
First, “overrated” teams:
9. Tie, Kansas- 4 seed, rated #27 by WN (7 seed) and Wisconsin- 5 seed, #31 (8 seed).
8. Michigan State- 9 seed, #48 (12 seed).
7. BYU- 6 seed, #37 (10 seed).
6. Texas- 7 seed, #43 (11 seed).
5. UVa- 10 seed, #59 (out of tournament).
3. Tie, Miss St- 8 seed, #53 (out of tournament) and TCU- 9 seed, #57 (out of tournament).
2. Northwestern- 9 seed, #58 (out of tournament).
1. Clemson- 6 seed, #63 (out of tournament).
Second, “ underrated” teams that made the tournament:
4. Tie, CofC- 13 seed, #33 (9 seed) and James Madison- 12 seed, #29 (8 seed).
2. Tie, New Mexico- 11 seed, #24 (6 seed) and Drake- 10 seed, #20 (5 seed).
1. Nevada- 10 seed, #19 (5 seed).
Third, “underrated” teams that missed the tournament:
5. Princeton, #51.
4. St. John’s, #50.
3. Indiana State, #46
2. South Florida, #45
1. Pitt, #34.
Last, St. Mary’s (#9) and Gonzaga (#12) would be 3 seeds instead of 5 seeds and would not play a 1 seed until the regional finals. If all goes to form they will play a 12, 4, and 1 instead of a 14, 6, and 2.
The NCAA Tournament Committee has been accused of major conference bias by folks like us, who support teams outside the P5 plus Big East.
Comparing Nolan’s ratings to tournament seedings shows some discrepancies.
First, “overrated” teams:
9. Tie, Kansas- 4 seed, rated #27 by WN (7 seed) and Wisconsin- 5 seed, #31 (8 seed).
8. Michigan State- 9 seed, #48 (12 seed).
7. BYU- 6 seed, #37 (10 seed).
6. Texas- 7 seed, #43 (11 seed).
5. UVa- 10 seed, #59 (out of tournament).
3. Tie, Miss St- 8 seed, #53 (out of tournament) and TCU- 9 seed, #57 (out of tournament).
2. Northwestern- 9 seed, #58 (out of tournament).
1. Clemson- 6 seed, #63 (out of tournament).
Second, “ underrated” teams that made the tournament:
4. Tie, CofC- 13 seed, #33 (9 seed) and James Madison- 12 seed, #29 (8 seed).
2. Tie, New Mexico- 11 seed, #24 (6 seed) and Drake- 10 seed, #20 (5 seed).
1. Nevada- 10 seed, #19 (5 seed).
Third, “underrated” teams that missed the tournament:
5. Princeton, #51.
4. St. John’s, #50.
3. Indiana State, #46
2. South Florida, #45
1. Pitt, #34.
Last, St. Mary’s (#9) and Gonzaga (#12) would be 3 seeds instead of 5 seeds and would not play a 1 seed until the regional finals. If all goes to form they will play a 12, 4, and 1 instead of a 14, 6, and 2.
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Re: Tournament seeding compared to Warren Nolan
Too many pundits on Samford’s bandwagon. Hope it doesn’t jinx them.
"No one is Steph Curry” ~ Draymond Green
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Re: Tournament seeding compared to Warren Nolan
A little birdie tells me that Samford are a bunch of A-holes.Ursa Midmajor wrote: ↑Thu Mar 21, 2024 8:25 amToo many pundits on Samford’s bandwagon. Hope it doesn’t jinx them.
Re: Tournament seeding compared to Warren Nolan
I think I heard that Samford has 8 players who shot over 38% from 3.
"Here’s what is the elephant in the room. Travis had a bag before. Now everyone has a bag. The Travis Ford recruiting prowess was greatly exaggerated."---SLU fan explaining how NIL took away Ford's recruiting edge
Re: Tournament seeding compared to Warren Nolan
So here's the story: a friend of mine worked as a volunteer during the SC tournament, managing the ball boys and girls. I told him I liked Samford. He said they were a bunch of a-holes. I am not sure if he was referring to the players or the staff. I've watched a few of their games and I've not seen anything on the floor that I thought was amiss.wildforthecats wrote: ↑Thu Mar 21, 2024 8:36 amA little birdie tells me that Samford are a bunch of A-holes.Ursa Midmajor wrote: ↑Thu Mar 21, 2024 8:25 amToo many pundits on Samford’s bandwagon. Hope it doesn’t jinx them.
"There ain't no sanity clause!" Chico Marx
Re: Tournament seeding compared to Warren Nolan
I'd take some sphincters who could shoot like that.
"Here’s what is the elephant in the room. Travis had a bag before. Now everyone has a bag. The Travis Ford recruiting prowess was greatly exaggerated."---SLU fan explaining how NIL took away Ford's recruiting edge